From: Mann, Bob (R.C.) Sent: Thursday, November 11, 2004 11:27 AM To: Mann, Bob (R.C.) Subject: LMIC - Toolkit info The question was asked about Toolkit, "I'm sure this has been answered before, but I must have missed it. When estimating the projected sales and earnings, the entry box gives the analyst's estimate of EPS, which I never exceed. Who are these analysts? Are they the same analysts that give buy/sell projections on the Reuter's page of analysts' recommendations? And are their recommendations for the immediate future or for 5 years out?" --- Doug Gerlach gerlach@iclub.com answered: It comes from the S&P Analysts Consensus Estimate (ACE) estimate in OPS data. This is the estimate of 5-year EPS growth rates from those Wall Street analysts who make long-term growth rate estimates, as collected by Standard & Poors. Actually, very few analysts make long-term estimates, so the estimates tend to be very general (in my experience). And, in my experience, almost always too high. I make my own judgment call of earnings, and then check the analysts to make sure I am comfortably below their estimates. (I also make sure that my five year earnings projection is below the Value Line 3-5 year earnings projection.) If I am below both of these, I feel that my projection has some chance of being right.